Monday, March 3, 2008

Life Without Us | Hibernation

Joms enters geek mode.

Now that I'm done with my job (which consist of a 100 - text reply quota in one account) three hours before my shift ends, I'm forced to look for ways to distract myself from the seemingly perpetual isolation from everyone in the floor. Since I have no one to talk to, one pastime that keeps me away from total boredom is to bombard myself with information I get from Wikipedia.

In the old days, I used the same trick to keep me entertained and informed when I don't have any friends around. I would stay in the library for hours reading books about history, science and even astronomy. I hoarded books for factual information so I may be able to use it later for some practical applications. The only difference now is that the information I hoard comes from one source and that is in the internet.

Take for example the tidbits of information I found sometime ago. It was a special feature aired on the History Channel some months ago. Entitled Life After People, it is a scientific attempt to predict how the world would go on if humanity was suddenly taken out of the global picture. It tries to give the viewers an idea of how our absence would affect the animals, plants and civilization we would leave behind.

The speculation was based upon documented results of the sudden removal of humans from an area that exist at present and the possible results which would occur should humanity discontinue its maintenance of buildings and urban infrastructure. This time however, the hypothesis applies to a global scale.

Imagine a world without humans. How would things run without our intervention?

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1 day after people

The special assumes that humanity disappears suddenly and immediately, but does not speculate what would cause such an event.

Fossil fuel fired power plants, which are largely automated, would remain running for a few hours until their fuel supplies are depleted. Within hours, lights begin going out all over the world as electrical systems start failing.

Subway systems like the New York City MTA require pumps to keep the groundwater at bay and without humans to turn them on, most subways will be flooded within 36 hours.

After 48 hours, nuclear power plants will enter a safe mode automatically due to reduced power consumption and will not meltdown. Wind turbines will cease operation once their lubrication fails.

Eventually, areas except those powered by hydroelectric dams lose all electricity.

10 days after people

Food would rot in grocery stores and in refrigerators. While meltwater from freezers or food on counter tops could provide temporary sustenance, pets would need to leave their owners' houses or die of starvation. Those which were not trapped would start to compete for food. Dogs and cats that were bred by humans for appearance now have no niche in this new competitive environment and will die first. For example, the short legs and small mouths of bulldogs or terriers will be handicaps for them.

6 months after people

Smaller forms of wildlife not normally seen in civilization like coyotes and bobcats begin to inhabit suburban areas. Deer begin grazing in neighborhoods as well. Rats and mice have consumed our edible supplies and are leaving urban areas to go back into the wild.


2 years after people

The Hoover Dam would stop generating power when mussels clog coolant pipes. Las Vegas, Nevada, one of the last areas with some artificial illumination, would then become completely dark. The Colorado River downstream from the dam would temporarily dry up as the flow of water through the dam stopped; when the level of Lake Mead reached the spillways around the dam, the normal flow would resume.

Humanity's final radio and television signals which have been traveling through outer space have now deteriorated into undetectable background radiation, according to scientists with the SETI project.

5 years after people

Plant life will have sprouted and covered many surfaces in urban areas with vines, grasses, and tree saplings.

20 years after people

The ruins of Prypiat, Ukraine, which was abandoned in 1986 due to the Chernobyl disaster documents the level of decay which could happen after twenty years of humanity's disappearance. Despite the radiation levels, many animal populations have grown significantly in areas humans have left. Plants have grown in many structures once used by humans.

25 years after people

Sea water floods into cities such as London and Amsterdam which are currently kept dry by human engineered projects. Windows in high rise buildings begin to crack and shatter due to the cycle of freezing and thawing and the decay of window sealants.

50 years after people

By this time, many wooden frame houses would have burned, rotted, or been largely consumed by termites. Trees and vines grow into remaining brick and masonry elements, which would also be weakened by salts. Compacted earth dams may begin to fail due to widening leaks.

75 years after people

Many of the roughly 600 million automobiles on earth would be reduced to only a pile of metal. Some automobiles in arid climates would not have suffered the effects of corrosion as severely and would still be recognizable. While the rubber tires of cars would have deflated years ago, they would not decompose for centuries.

100 years after people

Large bridges such as the Golden Gate Bridge and the Brooklyn Bridge would collapse due to corrosion of support cables. Many human built structures would fail during the 100 to 300 year period.

150 years after people

Many streets in Manhattan collapse into the flooded tunnels below. Many large buildings are completely colonized by plants and animals and resemble a wild landscape.

200 years after people

Large structures such as the Empire State Building, Sears Tower, Space Needle, and Eiffel Tower would collapse due to corrosion, invasive plant life, and ground water destabilizing their foundations.

500 years after people

Items made with modern concrete would give way as the steel rebar reinforcing them expands to three times its original size as it rusts.

1,000 years after people

Most modern cities would be destroyed and/or covered in flora, with collapsed and fallen skyscrapers becoming new mounds and hills. Manhattan would appear much as it did before human settlement with old streams and bodies of waters returning. There would be little evidence that a human civilization existed on earth. Certain structures made out of thick rock or concrete, like the Egyptian Pyramids or medieval castles, might survive with minimal damage.

10,000 years after people

The Hoover Dam, one of the last remnants of advanced civilization, will fail due to erosion of its concrete and the cumulative effect of seismic activity.

By this point, any substantial evidence of humanity's former domination over nature would be all but gone. Only a few things would survive, such as large stone structures. The Pyramids at Giza remain, but would be mostly buried by the Sahara Desert's sands. Portions of the Great Wall of China may also remain intact. The faces at Mount Rushmore might also survive, and may remain so for hundreds of thousands of years to come.

Modern forms of information storage like hard drives, compact disks, DVDs, photographic film, and paper would have long since decayed.

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Fate of Domesticated Animals

Dogs

Domestic dogs which are not trapped in their owners' homes will survive at least temporarily in the wild. Smaller and specialized breeds such as the pug will likely be less able to compete successfully with medium sized dogs.

Small predators such as coyotes, foxes, and bobcats, which live on the periphery of civilization, may quickly become competitors to dogs. As urban areas revert to their natural states, larger predators such as bears and cougars will return. Wolves could increase in population very rapidly to become the new dominant predator species in North America as they were prior to European settlement. Some large domestic dogs may be accepted into wolf packs and breed with wolves. Eventually, dogs may completely revert into their wolf ancestors.

Domestic cats

As large buildings are colonized by plants, animals such as birds and mice will follow. Domestic cats may follow them as predators, and imaginative evolutionary paths could result, such as some living their entire lives in former skyscrapers or even evolving the capability to glide short distances like flying squirrels.

Fish/sea creatures

Pollution and overfishing will cease. Life in the ocean will quickly rebound to levels before consumption by humans. As evidence, the show cites the recovery of fish stocks in the North Atlantic Ocean during World War II when commercial fishing was impossible.

Rats/mice

Since mice eat the leftovers of humans, they will devour most of the remaining human food on earth. Once all human food is gone, the mice will return to the wild, where they will return to the bottom of the food chain, and the population will decrease.

Cockroaches

Cockroaches will devour available food and then move on to cardboard and paper. When they have exhausted these food supplies, they will return to eating seeds and other natural food items. Although cockroaches are native to tropical areas, they may survive in cold weather areas of the world by spending winters below ground.

Pigeons

Since pigeons have adapted to life with humans and life in the wild, they will find food in the wild and live in cities. Once trees cover the cities, the pigeons will not need to leave the city.

Cattle

The program does not speculate about the future of farm animals after the disappearance of humanity, though one scene shows a bull being hunted by a wolf pack at the remnants of a farm.



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